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✅ FACT CHECKED by AbateHate.com:
Main takeaway: The core claim — that far-right/populist, anti-immigration parties (FPÖ, AfD, RN) are scoring high in national polls in late-2025 — is well supported by multiple poll snapshots and reporting. (High confidence)
What was wrong/misleading: The specific assertion that Herbert Kickl “promised a referendum on leaving the EU” is not supported by reputable reporting; Freedom House was misquoted/misrepresented if someone claimed it found a 15% increase in EU censorship cases in 2025. Both of those are not supported by the referenced primary sources.
VIENNA (DailyKenn.com) — Populist, anti-immigration parties on Europe’s "far right" are leading national polls in three of the European Union’s largest member states, the latest surveys show, fueling concerns about a potential political earthquake in upcoming elections.
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In Austria, the Freedom Party (FPÖ) has surged to 37-38% in recent polls conducted by Market Institut in October and November, more than double the support of the second-place Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP). Party leader Herbert Kickl, who has promised mass deportations and a referendum on leaving the EU, remains the country’s most popular politician.
Across the border in Germany, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) has climbed to 26-27% in INSA institute surveys from the same period, narrowly overtaking Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s center-left coalition and the conservative CDU/CSU bloc. Co-leader Alice Weidel has positioned the party as the main opposition to Berlin’s migration and energy policies ahead of federal elections expected in late 2025 or early 2026.
In France, National Rally (RN) president Jordan Bardella would win the 2027 presidential election in several hypothetical runoffs, according to a Nov. 25 Odoxa poll. The survey gave Bardella and the broader RN camp first-round support above 30%, placing the party well ahead of centrist and traditional conservative rivals.
The three parties — all labeled "far-right" or right-wing populist by mainstream analysts — share sharp criticism of EU migration rules on migration and content moderation. Supporters frequently cite the bloc’s 2024 Migration and Asylum Pact and the Digital Services Act as examples of overreach from Brussels.
Critics of the EU measures argue the new rules enable indirect censorship of dissent on immigration and other controversial topics. However, a widely circulated claim that the Freedom House organization documented a 15% increase in censorship cases across the EU in 2025 could not be verified; the group’s most recent “Freedom on the Net” report instead highlighted a 15th consecutive year of global decline in internet freedom without citing that specific statistic for Europe.
The polling surge comes as Austria, France and Germany grapple with heightened public anxiety over irregular migration, energy costs and cultural identity — issues the three parties have made central to their platforms.
Political scientists say the simultaneous strength of the FPÖ, AfD and National Rally marks the strongest coordinated challenge from Europe’s far right since World War II, though the parties maintain separate national organizations rather than a formal alliance.
National elections in Austria are scheduled for 2029, while German voters could head to the polls as early as next year if the current governing coalition collapses. France’s next presidential contest is set for spring 2027.
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